Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 254.937165 287.581022 323.813658 367.191939 417.948128 475.740902 546.929183
2025-05-11 201.178599 242.636317 292.659198 358.146914 442.636544 549.381558 696.736654
2025-05-18 172.027045 216.330979 272.691337 350.897795 458.624729 604.877967 823.967181
2025-05-25 157.667890 205.375635 268.858799 361.514116 496.777613 692.822253 1009.845414
2025-06-01 142.900181 191.435379 258.398328 360.255206 516.325223 755.468400 1168.912993
2025-06-08 129.362386 177.382337 245.668074 353.239735 525.081085 801.558224 1309.094218
2025-06-15 120.102391 168.295648 238.797615 353.614708 544.538983 866.750130 1494.821239
2025-06-22 110.225713 157.263484 227.723407 345.740262 548.840333 906.131435 1640.658201
2025-06-29 103.256401 149.924866 221.468732 344.672396 564.102939 966.727356 1841.296151
2025-07-06 94.384579 138.893340 208.351172 330.563982 554.164998 978.394293 1941.824955
2025-07-13 91.978765 137.794674 211.016723 343.655143 595.419916 1095.739249 2305.681547
2025-07-20 90.017059 137.199472 214.366697 358.189204 641.317831 1230.854212 2751.961538
2025-07-27 85.577109 132.319133 210.258876 359.061320 661.272494 1316.578230 3107.430194
2025-08-03 79.922303 125.017425 201.399475 350.126221 660.058974 1355.273924 3350.550172
2025-08-10 75.119696 118.818841 193.961420 343.090833 661.778399 1400.986778 3629.651500
2025-08-17 73.285956 117.598065 195.302576 353.414469 702.726334 1550.185312 4283.378839
2025-08-24 69.991313 113.572060 191.169786 352.190367 717.442480 1636.174164 4768.065671
2025-08-31 66.235523 108.479713 184.661559 345.367235 718.141269 1685.253544 5145.297922
2025-09-07 63.683521 105.395929 181.708891 345.731950 736.072002 1785.743706 5761.763608
2025-09-14 60.360212 100.701373 175.328582 338.072439 733.197602 1826.278826 6161.275518
2025-09-21 58.043399 97.734223 172.102920 337.033636 746.937798 1919.471533 6833.264132
2025-09-28 54.479338 92.243579 163.549667 323.307255 726.051648 1902.053923 7003.218724
2025-10-05 53.985039 92.518578 166.512306 336.044049 777.129746 2125.840943 8455.549516